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I was going to make Kentucky the preseason No. 1 if Jodie Meeks returned to school.
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Sherron Collins' Jayhawks look like the team to beat.
(US Presswire)
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But he didn't. So now I must drop the Wildcats all the way down to No. 2. Yes, that is probably higher than you'll find Kentucky in most preseason polls, but let me ask this: Where should a team with three probable first-round picks in next year's NBA Draft be ranked? That's an important question to consider because -- in John Wall, Patrick Patterson and DeMarcus Cousins -- that's what Kentucky has, three probable first-round draft picks. Only Kansas can argue that it might have better talent. That's why the Jayhawks are No. 1. But Kentucky is No. 2. Which means I'm predicting that on the first Monday in April, Bill Self and John Calipari will battle for the national title for the second time in three years. And I'm also predicting that if Calipari finds himself up three points in the final seconds, John Wall is going to foul Sherron Collins so hard that Mario Chalmers will feel it all the way down in Miami. Anyway, here's the Post-Deadline-To-Withdraw-From-The-NBA-Draft Top 25 (and one). 1. Kansas Top two returning players: Cole Aldrich and Sherron Collins Top newcomer: Xavier Henry Comment: The Jayhawks return every relevant player from a 27-win team and add a strong recruiting class to it. That's the way a national champion is built, and it really is amazing how quickly Self has been able to rebuild following the departure of his entire starting lineup in 2008. 2. Kentucky Top two returning players: Patrick Patterson and Darius Miller Top newcomer: John Wall Comment: The loss of Meeks hurts, no question. But Calipari still has a loaded roster, one that is arguably as good as the Derrick Rose/Chris Douglas-Roberts/Joey Dorsey roster that helped him make the 2008 Final Four. 3. Michigan State Top two returning players: Kalin Lucas and Raymar Morgan Top newcomer: Derrick Nix Comment: There isn't much coming into the program, but Tom Izzo doesn't need much. He has the core of last season's Final Four team pretty much intact, and that should be enough to help the Spartans take another Big Ten title. 4. North Carolina Top two returning players: Ed Davis and Deon Thompson Top newcomer: John Henson Comment: It's a tribute to Roy Williams and his ability to recruit that he can lose Tyler Hansbrough, Danny Green, Ty Lawson and Wayne Ellington and remain in the top five. The Tar Heels' frontcourt of Davis, Thompson and Henson will be among the best in the country. 5. Texas Top two returning players: Damion James and Dexter Pittman Top newcomer: Avery Bradley Comment: The return of James and Pittman is huge, and Bradley will be an elite scorer from the moment he steps on campus. All three mentioned players are future pros who could lead Texas on a deep run next March. 6. Villanova Top two returning players: Scottie Reynolds and Corey Fisher Top newcomer: Mouphtauo Yarou Comment: That Reynolds withdrew from the NBA Draft will have Villanova in position to make consecutive Final Fours. A consensus top five recruiting class helps, too. 7. Duke Top two returning players: Kyle Singler and Jon Scheyer Top newcomer: Ryan Kelly Comment: The Blue Devils still have a point guard problem, but that didn't stop them from winning 30 games last season. The additions of Kelly and Mason Plumlee will make the frontcourt strong and help offset the loss of Gerald Henderson. 8. Connecticut Top two returning players: Jerome Dyson and Kemba Walker Top newcomer: Alex Oriakhi Comment: The Huskies got a break that should keep them near the top of the Big East when Stanley Robinson didn't try to turn pro. He'll be aided by first-year players Oriakhi and Ater Majok (if he's eligible), and a backcourt of Walker and Dyson is talented by any standard. 9. Purdue Top two returning players: E'Twaun Moore and Robbie Hummel Top newcomer: D.J. Byrd Comment: Suddenly, these Baby Boilermakers are heading into their junior years, ready to make their first Elite Eight. With Moore, Hummel and JaJuan Johnson in the starting lineup, it's a realistic possibility. 10. West Virginia Top two returning players: Da'Sean Butler and Devin Ebanks Top newcomer: Dalton Pepper Comment: The return of Joe Mazzulla from an injury will steady the backcourt and give Bob Huggins what should be his best team since he left Cincinnati. Butler and Ebanks are two of the better forwards in the country. 11. Butler Top two returning players: Matt Howard and Gordon Hayward Top newcomer: Andrew Smith Comment: The Bulldogs will make their third consecutive NCAA tournament under Brad Stevens. The reigning Horizon League champions didn't have a single senior on last season's roster.
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Isaiah Thomas' Huskies should win the Pac-10.
(US Presswire)
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12. Washington Top two returning players: Isaiah Thomas and Quincy Pondexter Top newcomer: Abdul Gaddy Comment: A Thomas/Gaddy backcourt will be as fun as any backcourt in the nation. The Huskies should finish atop a relatively weak Pac-10. 13. Oklahoma Top two returning players: Willie Warren and Tony Crocker Top newcomer: Keith Gallon Comment: Yes, Blake Griffin is gone. But a top 10 recruiting class and the (somewhat) surprising return of Warren will have the Sooners continuing their tradition of winning under Jeff Capel. 14. Clemson Top two returning players: Trevor Booker and Demontez Stitt Top newcomer: Milton Jennings Comment: The loss of Terrence Oglesby was unexpected. But it's not too much to overcome for Clemson thanks to the arrival of Jennings and Booker's younger brother, Devin Booker. 15. Louisville Top two returning players: Samardo Samuels and Jerry Smith Top newcomer: Peyton Siva Comment: If Samuels develops into the dominant big man he should be, then Louisville will be in contention for another Sweet 16. If not, this ranking is probably too high. 16. Minnesota Top two returning players: Lawrence Westbrook and Damian Johnson Top newcomer: Royce White Comment: Tubby Smith has turned things around quickly at Minnesota thanks to his ability to recruit the state. He'll be back in the NCAA tournament barring a major surprise. 17. Dayton Top two returning players: Chris Wright and Marcus Johnson Top newcomer: Matt Kavanaugh Comment: The loss of Derrick Brown at Xavier has the Flyers as the pick to win the Atlantic 10. Wright should be an All-American candidate and the key to a potential 30-win season. 18. Tennessee Top two returning players: Tyler Smith and Wayne Chism Top newcomer: Kenny Hall Comment: The addition of Hall will add depth to the frontcourt, but it's the backcourt where the Vols must be better. That means Bobby Maze has to be more reliable and as good as he was at the beginning of last season. 19. Siena Top two returning players: Edwin Ubiles and Alex Franklin Top newcomer: Oderah Anosike Comment: Four starters return from a 27-win team that challenged Louisville in the second round of the NCAA tournament. In other words, the Saints should still be good despite the loss of Kenny Hasbrouck. 20. Ohio State Top two returning players: Evan Turner and William Buford Top newcomer: None Comment: The Buckeyes don't have their usual great recruiting class, but they didn't need one with Turner, Buford, Jon Diebler and David Lighty set to return. Those four players are OSU's top four scorers. They won't miss B.J. Mullens too much.
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Manny Harris leads a veteran group of Wolverines.
(US Presswire)
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21. Michigan Top two returning players: Manny Harris and DeShawn Sims Top newcomer: Matt Vogrich Comment: Nearly every relevant player from a team that spent part of last season ranked is back, including All-American candidate Harris. He averaged 16.9 points and 6.8 rebounds as a sophomore. 22. California Top two returning players: Jerome Randle and Patrick Christopher Top newcomer: Markuri Sanders-Frison Comment: Randall and Christopher give the Bears a talented backcourt. If the team makes shots, it will be a force in the Pac-10. 23. Illinois Top two returning players: Demetri McCamey and Mike Davis Top newcomer: D.J. Richardson Comment: It was just a few years ago when some were questioning whether Bruce Weber would be able to recruit well enough to last at Illinois. Now Weber has a heralded recruiting class -- featuring two top 50 prospects -- set to enroll and a solid group of veterans to make the Illini a threat in the Big Ten. 24. Georgetown Top two returning players: Greg Monroe and Chris Wright Top newcomer: Hollis Thompson Comment: The return of Monroe, Wright and Austin Freeman gives John Thompson III a nice nucleus. That's why you can expect the Hoyas to rebound from a disappointing season in the Big East. 25. Gonzaga Top two returning players: Matt Bouldin and Steven Gray Top newcomer: G.J. Vilarino Comment: The Zags lost a lot from last season's 28-win team, specifically Josh Heytvelt, Austin Daye, Jeremy Pargo and Micah Downs. But a talented core remains in place, and Gonzaga will almost certainly ride it to another WCC title. 26. Mississippi State Top two returning players: Jarvis Varnado and Barry Stewart Top newcomer: John Riek Comment: The reason Renardo Sidney isn't listed as the top newcomer is because I simply do not believe the NCAA will clear him to play college basketball. If I'm wrong, I'll correct this accordingly. But even without Sidney, the Bulldogs should push for an SEC West title.
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